低碳经济与管理论坛
2025年第9期
汇报题目：传染病流行对农作物生产、全球变暖和生物多样性的潜在影响及减缓措施
报告人：王戎，复旦大学教授
报告时间：2025年12月1日（星期一） 上午 10:00-12:00
地点：新主楼A706
邀请人：谢杨
个人简介：
王戎，复旦大学环境科学与工程系教授，主要从事大气化学、碳循环、地球系统、能源经济等领域研究，至今以独立通讯作者在 Nature、Joule、PNAS、Nature Geos.、Nature Commun.等发表了研究论文20余篇，提出了中国和全球风光发展优化路径、能源效率诱导机制、气候变化社会经济临界点等重要观点，曾获中国十大新锐科技人物、 中国十大气象科技进展、全球科技创新“突出贡献奖”、亚洲气溶胶“杰出青年科学家奖”、中国化学会环境化学青年奖等荣誉。
报告内容：
The rising frequency of infectious diseases under climate change poses an emerging threat to sustainability. The demand for crops to produce personal protective equipment competes for land and fertilizers, leads to cropland expansion and accelerates climate change, but the ecological impacts of pandemics remain unclear. Here we explore the impacts of pandemics on global warming, food supply, and biodiversity loss in an Earth-system model by developing empirical relationships between consumption of personal protective equipment and the rate of infection during the COVID-19. We find that containing the pandemics would increase production of cotton lint, corn and natural rubber, which accelerates global warming by 0.2 °C with 1.8% additional species losses by 2100. Our results suggest that the risks of public health, food security, climate change and ecological integrity have been connected to each other, and such risk interconnectivity could be amplified if greenhouse gas emissions are not abated timely.
